Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000169 0.000188 0.000207 0.000230 0.000256 0.000284 0.000317
2025-03-16 0.000128 0.000153 0.000182 0.000219 0.000265 0.000319 0.000389
2025-03-23 0.000109 0.000137 0.000172 0.000220 0.000283 0.000364 0.000478
2025-03-30 0.000098 0.000129 0.000170 0.000227 0.000309 0.000420 0.000586
2025-04-06 0.000085 0.000116 0.000159 0.000222 0.000315 0.000449 0.000661
2025-04-13 0.000074 0.000104 0.000146 0.000211 0.000311 0.000461 0.000711
2025-04-20 0.000067 0.000098 0.000142 0.000212 0.000323 0.000499 0.000805
2025-04-27 0.000063 0.000094 0.000140 0.000216 0.000342 0.000548 0.000926
2025-05-04 0.000058 0.000089 0.000135 0.000215 0.000351 0.000582 0.001023
2025-05-11 0.000055 0.000085 0.000133 0.000217 0.000364 0.000625 0.001145
2025-05-18 0.000051 0.000081 0.000129 0.000215 0.000372 0.000658 0.001252
2025-05-25 0.000047 0.000077 0.000125 0.000214 0.000380 0.000693 0.001367
2025-06-01 0.000044 0.000073 0.000121 0.000212 0.000388 0.000730 0.001496
2025-06-08 0.000040 0.000067 0.000114 0.000203 0.000381 0.000739 0.001570
2025-06-15 0.000038 0.000064 0.000111 0.000204 0.000394 0.000789 0.001746
2025-06-22 0.000036 0.000063 0.000112 0.000211 0.000420 0.000870 0.002010
2025-06-29 0.000034 0.000060 0.000107 0.000207 0.000420 0.000896 0.002145
2025-07-06 0.000031 0.000055 0.000100 0.000196 0.000407 0.000889 0.002195
2025-07-13 0.000029 0.000053 0.000099 0.000197 0.000419 0.000941 0.002412
2025-07-20 0.000028 0.000052 0.000099 0.000201 0.000439 0.001017 0.002714
2025-07-27 0.000027 0.000050 0.000096 0.000200 0.000446 0.001062 0.002935
2025-08-03 0.000026 0.000049 0.000095 0.000201 0.000461 0.001127 0.003233
2025-08-10 0.000024 0.000047 0.000093 0.000200 0.000467 0.001172 0.003481